Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.098289 1.528286e-01 0.217411 0.296913 0.389915 0.493405 0.615561
2025-12-28 0.040531 1.044262e-01 0.196675 0.325134 0.488905 0.682795 0.922847
2026-01-04 0.016024 7.559644e-02 0.179488 0.337970 0.551371 0.813176 1.145682
2026-01-11 0.006776 6.395239e-02 0.181674 0.373261 0.640422 0.975271 1.406848
2026-01-18 0.001704 5.251229e-02 0.179350 0.398890 0.714575 1.117413 1.642890
2026-01-25 NaN 3.733524e-02 0.164394 0.402053 0.756129 1.217014 1.826026
2026-02-01 NaN 1.903285e-02 0.132817 0.373101 0.749171 1.251630 1.926592
2026-02-08 NaN 6.348587e-03 0.100623 0.335655 0.725196 1.260621 1.992358
2026-02-15 NaN 1.895518e-03 0.085000 0.323816 0.736432 1.314653 2.113916
2026-02-22 NaN 5.407450e-04 0.079493 0.330226 0.774799 1.405051 2.282055
2026-03-01 NaN 4.729606e-10 0.070227 0.326788 0.796754 1.472424 2.420129
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.056228 0.309353 0.794549 1.505260 2.512482
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.060453 0.337082 0.869185 1.649696 2.756683
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.064430 0.364707 0.944559 1.796436 3.005666
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.063287 0.379022 0.997577 1.911486 3.212777
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.070956 0.416333 1.089452 2.081954 3.493594
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.074717 0.443542 1.164490 2.228753 3.743412
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.069536 0.446879 1.199226 2.318385 3.917769
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.053148 0.416201 1.174552 2.322393 3.977939
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.036291 0.376424 1.130785 2.296881 3.997179
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.029085 0.363823 1.133591 2.337936 4.104769
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.027358 0.370647 1.171674 2.430863 4.282535
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.023333 0.366987 1.189971 2.494372 4.420402